TEHRAN TRIES TO SALVAGE THE LEBANON STRONGHOLDS

There it is. Exactly what we all knew was coming.

After almost two days of wrangling between France and the United States on the wording of a draft resolution that was to be introduced via the U.N. Security Council, the Arab states have come out to attack it. Why? Because they lose if it passes.

Oh, it’s not that they don’t really want peace, (snort), but at this time what they really want is for Israel to be made to leave Lebanon. After all, Hezbollah and their Lebanese puppet government could really use the vacuum that would create to rearm and to reestablish their bases of operation.

Israel and its leadership know full well that if they pull out before there is a replacement for Israel’s troops, then the last four weeks have been for naught. Any withdrawal at this point would be a fool’s hand, and the Arab’s know it, too. One thing I’ll say for the mullah’s; they’re not stupid. Just barbaric.

With time for Hezbollah and its Lebanese cohorts running out, something must be done by the Muslims quickly, or they may lose a base on Israel’s doorstep. Don’t think for one iota that this isn’t running through some very sick minds in Tehran. They must be frothing at the mouth. I can almost hear Sheik Abdullah bin Allah Mohammed Ali Bashak now. “How could we have played our hand so poorly?”

With the Americans firmly in control of the cards that the Security Council can play, there is little hope for the Arab’s to see their demand of an immediate withdrawal of Israeli forces from within Lebanon met. The only avenue for Tehran now is for the situation and the violence to escalate. This will further infuriate the Israeli’s and further polarize them from the international community. The reasons Tehran would do such a thing are many.

For one, the longer the violence spirals in Lebanon, the longer attention is off of Iran and its nuclear ambitions. Iran is undoubtedly scurrying for its own bomb in the most urgent way. With America and the U.N. juggling Beirut, there is little attention on them for the time being. This tactic of distraction is millennia old, but appears to be working.

Secondly, Iran has little concern for the Lebanese. In fact, sacrificing every single Lebanese man, woman, and child wouldn’t even faze Ahmadinejad and the ayatollahs. Such a sacrifice for allah would be a little thing to them.

Thirdly, Iran would love to see this conflict escalate, with Syria perhaps joining in. The more the merrier as they say. With the U.N. onside with the Arabs, there is little that they seem to be able to do wrong. Should they win against Israel, even in a small way, they can declare victory throughout the Middle East. If they lose, which is what they are best at, then they can claim that Israel is an occupier. This whine seems to have no limitations and is good for hundreds of years.

Just what standing the Arab League should rightfully have in proceedings between the two parties involved and the United Nations is beyond me and I think reveals many things. This is where the influence of all of the back room players in the Middle East come together and attempt to milk the situation for what they can get.

Lebanon, under Prime Minister Fouad Siniora, has been either unwilling or unable to control its own borders for more than a decade. Supposedly fearing a renewal of civil war, Hezbollah has been given a long leash lest the Syrian agitators within Lebanon’s midst have their wrath kindled. Now Prime Minister Siniora, seen yesterday with the Arab League behind him, is demanding that the Security Council order Israel out of Lebanon. It seems that all of a sudden, it would be no problem for Siniora to rule the country, all of it, like a real leader.

The proposal for Lebanon to call up 15,000 reservists is also suspect. Why now? Why is it that Lebanon at this time feels strong enough to patrol the south and control Hezbollah? Could it be that the mullahs in Tehran have agreed to pull back? Or could it be that many of the ‘reservists’ are simply Hezbollah fighters?

Israel has said that it wants international forces to be included in any deal, and it should. Lebanon isn’t what it appears to be, and neither is Prime Minister Fouad Siniora.

What we are seeing right now is merely smoke and mirrors. Siniora’s puppet strings are so big it is hard to miss them.